Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.190033 0.216381 0.244667 0.277248 0.313691 0.353149 0.399058
2025-12-21 0.153329 0.188235 0.228239 0.277308 0.335698 0.402767 0.485444
2025-12-28 0.129447 0.169569 0.218192 0.281092 0.359904 0.454950 0.577768
2026-01-04 0.112897 0.156652 0.212352 0.287829 0.386704 0.511007 0.678165
2026-01-11 0.098422 0.143960 0.204587 0.290247 0.407015 0.559316 0.771420
2026-01-18 0.087738 0.134664 0.199736 0.295204 0.430046 0.611748 0.872714
2026-01-25 0.079948 0.128256 0.197779 0.303318 0.457223 0.670737 0.985887
2026-02-01 0.070959 0.118841 0.190278 0.302342 0.470820 0.711096 1.075005
2026-02-08 0.063233 0.110343 0.183069 0.300743 0.482777 0.749144 1.162312
2026-02-15 0.056662 0.102842 0.176494 0.299209 0.494210 0.786493 1.250043
2026-02-22 0.052640 0.099040 0.175270 0.305694 0.518015 0.843178 1.369179
2026-03-01 0.047852 0.093346 0.170340 0.305593 0.531104 0.883860 1.465678
2026-03-08 0.043377 0.087853 0.165468 0.305559 0.544918 0.927487 1.570995
2026-03-15 0.039524 0.083042 0.161288 0.306274 0.559891 0.973695 1.682909
2026-03-22 0.036651 0.079736 0.159421 0.310761 0.581378 1.031477 1.816414
2026-03-29 0.034484 0.077545 0.159336 0.318322 0.608520 1.099893 1.970733
2026-04-05 0.031912 0.074218 0.156782 0.321070 0.627208 1.154925 2.105325
2026-04-12 0.029912 0.071837 0.155782 0.326552 0.651008 1.219739 2.259471
2026-04-19 0.028463 0.070455 0.156589 0.335468 0.681528 1.297616 2.439635
2026-04-26 0.026117 0.066810 0.152485 0.334415 0.693266 1.342807 2.564736
2026-05-03 0.023937 0.063267 0.148238 0.332671 0.703436 1.385495 2.687158
2026-05-10 0.021975 0.059984 0.144213 0.330995 0.713497 1.428288 2.811507
2026-05-17 0.020910 0.058731 0.144435 0.338099 0.741160 1.504743 3.000317